Mastering The Market Cycle
Module Units
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Why Study Cycles?
- 3. The Nature Of Cycles
- 4. The Economic Cycle
- 5. Government Involvement With The Economic Cycle
- 6. The Cycle In Profits
- 7. The Pendulum Of Investor Psychology
- 8. The Cycle In Attitudes Toward Risk
- 9. The Credit Cycle
- 10. The Distressed Debt Cycle
- 11. The Real Estate Cycle
- 12. Putting It All Together–The Market Cycle
- 13. How To Cope With Market Cycles
- 14. Cycle Positioning
- 15. Limits On Coping
- 16. The Cycle In Success
- 17. The Future Of Cycles
- 18. The Essence Of Cycles
Limits On Coping
Being too far ahead of your time is indistinguishable from being wrong.
Positioning for cycles isn’t easy. Be careful about betting too heavily on your opinions.
It is difficult to make frequent and correct distinctions about the market when it is in the middle ground between rich and cheap. Detecting and exploiting the extremes is really the best we can hope for.
By making decisions only at the greatest cyclical extremes, you maximize your chances of being right.
You shouldn’t expect to reach profitable conclusions daily, monthly, or even yearly.
When there is nothing clever to do, the mistake lies in trying to be clever.
No one should fear that he is not up to the task just because he is unsure of his conclusions. These are not things about which certainty is attainable.
You need a strong stomach for being wrong because we are all going to be wrong more often than we expect. Being wrong is inevitable and normal.
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Jeremy Silva
Jeremy Silva lives near San Francisco with his wife and son. He is a writer, blogger, and personal investor. He is passionate about education, personal development, project management, and investing. His blog has over 100 book summaries on many topics including investing, self-help, and business. You can click on the link to read some interesting book summaries on Jeremy’s website (https://jsilva.blog/book-summaries/).
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