Mastering The Market Cycle
Module Units
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Why Study Cycles?
- 3. The Nature Of Cycles
- 4. The Economic Cycle
- 5. Government Involvement With The Economic Cycle
- 6. The Cycle In Profits
- 7. The Pendulum Of Investor Psychology
- 8. The Cycle In Attitudes Toward Risk
- 9. The Credit Cycle
- 10. The Distressed Debt Cycle
- 11. The Real Estate Cycle
- 12. Putting It All Together–The Market Cycle
- 13. How To Cope With Market Cycles
- 14. Cycle Positioning
- 15. Limits On Coping
- 16. The Cycle In Success
- 17. The Future Of Cycles
- 18. The Essence Of Cycles
The Pendulum Of Investor Psychology
Swings in emotional psychology strongly influence the economic and corporate profit cycles. They also play a very prominent part in causing ups and downs in the investment world, especially in the short run.
The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the swing of a pendulum. They swing between the following:
- Between euphoria and depression
- Between celebrating positive developments and obsessing over negatives
- Between overpriced and underpriced
- Between greed and fear
- Between optimism and pessimism
- Between risk tolerance and risk aversion
- Between urgency to buy and panic to sell
It is from the extremes of the cycle of fear and greed that arise the greatest investment profits.
Few people are always even keeled and unemotional. For this reason, few investors are capable of staking out a midpoint position that balances greed and fear, and staying there.
The market spends very little time at the happy medium, it spends the majority of time above or below the averages.
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Jeremy Silva
Jeremy Silva lives near San Francisco with his wife and son. He is a writer, blogger, and personal investor. He is passionate about education, personal development, project management, and investing. His blog has over 100 book summaries on many topics including investing, self-help, and business. You can click on the link to read some interesting book summaries on Jeremy’s website (https://jsilva.blog/book-summaries/).
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